Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.136909 0.160386 0.186230 0.216731 0.251678 0.290402 0.336493
2026-01-04 0.101108 0.133564 0.173205 0.224877 0.290104 0.369328 0.472418
2026-01-11 0.080202 0.116024 0.163315 0.229627 0.319392 0.435750 0.596882
2026-01-18 0.065598 0.102449 0.154360 0.231660 0.342411 0.493653 0.713677
2026-01-25 0.054551 0.091219 0.145925 0.231784 0.360978 0.545448 0.825249
2026-02-01 0.045454 0.080985 0.136878 0.228908 0.373654 0.588732 0.927262
2026-02-08 0.038141 0.072147 0.128356 0.225116 0.383615 0.627829 1.025297
2026-02-15 0.031432 0.063051 0.117899 0.216456 0.384300 0.651971 1.101575
2026-02-22 0.029167 0.061444 0.119721 0.228201 0.418897 0.731612 1.270382
2026-03-01 0.024703 0.054903 0.111857 0.221989 0.422279 0.760616 1.359400
2026-03-08 0.020765 0.048675 0.103619 0.213900 0.421191 0.781525 1.435899
2026-03-15 0.017825 0.043964 0.097564 0.208993 0.425007 0.810633 1.527837
2026-03-22 0.016103 0.041650 0.096057 0.212887 0.445869 0.871985 1.681804
2026-03-29 0.014890 0.040290 0.096349 0.220437 0.474491 0.949692 1.870966
2026-04-05 0.013573 0.038435 0.095307 0.225057 0.497716 1.019115 2.049897
2026-04-12 0.012224 0.036237 0.093177 0.227050 0.515729 1.079918 2.216886
2026-04-19 0.010921 0.033900 0.090374 0.227171 0.529753 1.133872 2.374316
2026-04-26 0.009610 0.031271 0.086487 0.224346 0.537189 1.175311 2.510302
2026-05-03 0.008422 0.028737 0.082445 0.220623 0.542215 1.212112 2.639436
2026-05-10 0.007164 0.025718 0.076709 0.212120 0.535743 1.224833 2.721242
2026-05-17 0.006938 0.025804 0.079069 0.223652 0.575558 1.336215 3.009613
2026-05-24 0.006014 0.023476 0.074609 0.217553 0.574075 1.360312 3.120089
2026-05-31 0.005147 0.021121 0.069686 0.209611 0.567383 1.372554 3.206358